Recent Economic Developments - The Economic Expansion Remains Steady
Robust growth in consumer and business investment spending continues to fuel growth in the gross domestic product (GDP) and payroll job gains continue at a healthy pace. Payroll employment has expanded for 16 consecutive months and payroll job gains in 2004 totaled over 2.2 million. Energy prices rose again recently, after a sharp retreat from recent peaks of late October. Higher energy prices have pushed up the dollar value of imports while stagnant growth abroad has hampered export growth. As a result, the U.S. trade deficit hit a record high in dollar terms in November. Despite increases in energy prices last year, inflation remains tame. Forecasters continue to see low inflation along with strong and steady growth at least through next year.