A
number of economic indicators suggest that the pace of recovery is accelerating
after more than a year of sub-par improvement.
Households and businesses appear more optimistic about the future, and a
now sustained increase in consumer credit suggests a welcome improvement in
both the availability of credit as well as consumers’ willingness to
spend. However, the labor market remains
troubled. Although the unemployment rate
has fallen, the eventual re-entry of millions of discouraged workers who have
left the labor force will place upward pressure on the unemployment rate for
some time. Indeed, Chairman Bernanke
said it will be years before the unemployment rate returns to more normal
levels. And while the first round of
quantitative easing (QE1) arguably produced the intended effects, the same
cannot be said of the most recent round of quantitative easing (QE2).