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Representative David Schweikert - Vice Chairman

Advance Estimate Shows GDP Grew at a Real, Annualized Rate of 1.3% in the 2nd Quarter

Advance Estimate Shows GDP Grew at a Real, Annualized Rate of 1.3% in the 2nd Quarter

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The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its advance estimate of growth in the inflation-adjusted (“real”) gross domestic product (GDP) for the 2nd quarter of 2011 (View Report here). 

According to the advance estimate, annualized GDP growth in the 2nd quarter was 1.3%.  The Blue Chip Consensus forecast had been for growth of 2.0% in the 2nd quarter.  Growth in the 1st quarter of 2011 was revised downwards to 0.4%, from a previously reported rate of 1.9%.  Growth in the 4th quarter of 2010 was 2.3%, also reflecting a downward revision from a previously reported 3.1%.   The BEA will release its second estimate for 2nd quarter GDP growth on August 26th

 Highlights:

The 1.3% rate of growth primarily reflected positive contributions exports, nonresidential fixed investment, private inventory investment, and federal government spending.  These positive contributions were partly offset by negative contributions from imports and state and local government spending.

The acceleration in GDP growth, from a rate of 0.4% in the 1st quarter, was due to a deceleration in imports (which are a subtraction from GDP), an upturn federal government spending, and acceleration in nonresidential fixed investment.  This upward momentum was partly offset by a sharp deceleration in personal consumption expenditures.     

Contributions to Real GDP Growth_7.29.11Revised GDP Data Show Weaker Recovery 7.29.11

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